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338 Sunday Update: Liberals Pull Ahead as Poilievre Clears Leadership Review
Conservative delegates in Calgary give Poilievre a strong mandate, setting the stage for a potential rematch with Mark Carney.
Feb 1
•
Philippe J. Fournier
32
2
January 2026
Abacus Data: Liberals Open a Clear Lead as Poilievre Faces Leadership Review
New polling shows rising government approval and improving numbers for Mark Carney as Conservative delegates vote on Pierre Poilievre’s leadership.
Jan 30
•
Philippe J. Fournier
18
5
Léger: Liberals Surge to Majority Territory
Conservatives hold their ground, but a rebound in government satisfaction and an NDP slide propel the Liberals to a wide lead.
Jan 28
•
Philippe J. Fournier
37
1
3
The Numbers: Carney Gets Post-Davos Bump as Poilievre Falls Further Back
Looks like last week's dip wasn't a blip for Poilievre.
Jan 27
•
Philippe J. Fournier
23
1
Angus Reid Poll Adds to Poilievre’s Personal-Approval Troubles
The Conservative leader shows no improvement in personal ratings since late summer, with warning signs emerging among younger voters.
Jan 26
•
Philippe J. Fournier
33
5
Liberals Gain Ground as Poilievre Heads into a Leadership Review
New Liaison polling shows an eight-point Liberal lead, rising government approval, and persistently negative impressions of the Conservative leader.
Jan 26
•
Philippe J. Fournier
35
1
3
338 Sunday Update: Liberals Reclaim Ground as Poilievre Slides
New Abacus Data polling confirms Pierre Poilievre’s dip, as the Liberals make modest gains in the seat projections.
Jan 25
•
Philippe J. Fournier
43
7
Despite Stable Personal Finances, Canadians' Economic Pessimism Endures
New Léger poll shows Canadians worried about economic growth, health care, and relations with the United States.
Jan 23
•
Curtis Fric
24
2
Poilievre’s Numbers Slip as Leadership Review Nears
Party support remains (mostly) stable, but new polling shows a deterioration in the Conservative leader’s personal standing.
Jan 21
•
Philippe J. Fournier
20
1
3
The Numbers: Poilievre's Negatives Spike — Is it a Blip or a Problem?
Multiple new polls show the Conservatives doing fine, but Poilievre's personal numbers taking a hit. Does this change our priors on his leadership…
Jan 20
•
Philippe J. Fournier
17
1
Most Quebecers Oppose Sovereignty. Even More Reject Another Referendum
New polling suggests a referendum on independence is a losing bet, a major hurdle for the Parti Québécois going into an election year in Quebec.
Jan 20
•
Philippe J. Fournier
23
1
Legault’s Annus Horribilis
From beloved to reviled, François Legault's struggles can be traced back to a stretch of six months in 2023 when everything fell apart of the…
Jan 19
•
Philippe J. Fournier
16
1
2
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