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The Numbers: Carney Hits New Highs, Conservatives Risk New Lows
Plus: Quebec enters last of weekend of its general election, and the B.C. NDP appear to be in trouble.
Oct 1
•
Philippe J. Fournier
21
2
Alberta Separatism Remains a Minority View
Ipsos finds 74% would vote to remain in Canada, while the Alberta premier faces more negative than positive assessments from voters.
Oct 1
•
Curtis Fric
and
Philippe J. Fournier
26
3
September 2026
338 Quebec Update: CAQ on the Brink
Three new polls send the CAQ tumbling in the projection, while the Parti Québécois narrowly crosses the majority threshold. Buckle up for the final…
Sep 28
•
Philippe J. Fournier
21
338 Sunday Update: Eby Gambles, Carney Rises, PQ Nears Victory
From B.C.’s snap election to Alberta’s shifting landscape and Quebec’s final week, the political map is moving from coast to coast.
Sep 27
•
Philippe J. Fournier
28
3
Janet Brown: UCP and NDP Deadlocked as Smith’s Support Slides
The UCP drops eight points since the spring as the NDP gains ground in Calgary, and nearly three-quarters of Alberta voters reject path to separation.
Sep 25
•
Philippe J. Fournier
54
2
7
The Numbers: Was It a Good Idea for David Eby to Call an Election in B.C.?
Will the B.C. NDP capitalize on a divided opposition, or will David Eby get his FAFO moment?
Sep 24
•
Philippe J. Fournier
21
1
338 Quebec Update: CAQ Slips, PQ Nears Majority Territory
With less than 30% support, the PQ is now knocking on the door of a majority. Welcome to a five-way race under FPTP.
Sep 22
•
Philippe J. Fournier
27
338 Sunday Update: Canadians Want Closer Ties With Europe
Associate E.U. member? To be determined. But as Canada explores closer ties with the European Union, new polling shows Canadians overwhelmingly favour…
Sep 20
•
Philippe J. Fournier
27
2
3
The Numbers: An Upset Win in Alberta and a Snap Election in B.C.?
And you thought the Quebec campaign was weird?
Sep 16
•
Philippe J. Fournier
19
2
1
338 Sunday Update: Carney Liberals Hit a New High
With the U.S. trade dispute dominating the landscape, government approval jumps as the Liberals open their largest lead in the 338Canada aggregate.
Sep 13
•
Philippe J. Fournier
34
2
Angus Reid: Liberals +14, Poilievre Hits New Low
Most Conservative voters still want Poilievre to lead the party into the next election. But beyond the CPC base, the numbers are considerably bleaker.
Sep 12
•
Curtis Fric
and
Philippe J. Fournier
27
1
4
The Numbers: Carney Gets His Trump Bump
And Poilievre, his Trump Slump.
Sep 10
•
Philippe J. Fournier
18
1
1
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