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338 Sunday Update: Final 2025 Polls Show Cracks in Liberal Support
A statistical tie to end 2025, falling government approval, and warning signs in Quebec and B.C.
Dec 28
•
Philippe J. Fournier
19
4
2
The Numbers: Predicting 2026 in Federal Politics
We took a beating for our 2025 predictions, so it's redemption time for Eric and Philippe.
Dec 23
•
Philippe J. Fournier
12
338 Sunday Update: Curtains on 2025
One of the most unpredictable political years ends in a statistical tie at the federal level — and an uncertain stage for 2026.
Dec 22
•
Philippe J. Fournier
26
1
The Numbers: Poilievre Suffers Another Blow as Roller-Coaster Year Comes to an End
Another floor-crossing, many close polls, and much uncertainty heading into 2026.
Dec 16
•
Philippe J. Fournier
11
Nanos: A Stable Landscape Heading into 2026
Liberals and Conservatives remain within reach on party support, but Carney keeps a wide lead over Poilievre in preferred PM.
Dec 16
•
Philippe J. Fournier
16
1
The Numbers Behind Poilievre’s Leadership Dilemma
Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is enemy action.
Dec 15
•
Philippe J. Fournier
24
4
338 Sunday Update: We Interrupt This Program
Low-bandwidth edition.
Dec 14
•
Philippe J. Fournier
28
Cost of Living Still Tops Canadians’ Worries
New polling from the Angus Reid Institute shows Canadians rank cost of living as their top concern, while most expect little financial improvement in…
Dec 12
•
Curtis Fric
12
2
Léger: Broad Support for Pipeline to B.C. Coast
Despite fears of backlash, stronger-than-expected support in B.C. and Quebec challenges assumptions about pipelines' political risks for the Liberals.
Dec 11
•
Philippe J. Fournier
20
2
The Numbers: Could the shake-up in B.C. be felt in Ottawa?
Could a federal MP be tempted to run for the B.C. Conservatives? One more federal by-election on the docket for 2026?
Dec 9
•
Philippe J. Fournier
17
Nanos Tracker: Liberal Lead Narrows
Don’t call it a trend just yet, but last week’s fielding was a rougher one for the Liberals and for Mark Carney.
Dec 9
•
Philippe J. Fournier
17
1
338 Sunday Update: Despite Turbulence, Mark Carney Carries the Liberals
As the Prime Minister outpolls his own party and national numbers hold steady, a BQ rise in Quebec and volatility in B.C. hint at potential shifts in…
Dec 7
•
Philippe J. Fournier
19
1
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