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The Numbers: Liberals in majority territory, but there's no election — yet?
The Carney Winter Bump has been confirmed by many sources, so what now?
9 hrs ago
•
Philippe J. Fournier
20
Conservatives Are Competitive. Pierre Poilievre Isn’t
Polls point to a widening gap between party strength and leader popularity.
Feb 11
•
Philippe J. Fournier
25
3
No Sign of a Post-Convention Bump for Poilievre
New polls released in the week following the Calgary convention show little movement toward the Conservatives and, in many cases, a widening Liberal…
Feb 10
•
Philippe J. Fournier
26
7
Alberta Independence: Many Leaners, but Few Committed Separatists
Among independence supporters, half would view joining the United States favourably.
Feb 9
•
Philippe J. Fournier
21
3
338 Sunday Update: Liberals Edge Back Into Majority Territory
Recent polling shows rising Liberal numbers across key regions, while NDP support slips close to last spring’s disastrous levels.
Feb 8
•
Philippe J. Fournier
41
4
Fundraising Gap Narrows as Liberals Close In on Conservatives
Mark Carney’s first year as leader reshapes the federal money race, even as Conservatives maintain an overall fundraising edge.
Feb 6
•
Curtis Fric
21
3
The Numbers: Poilievre Prevails in Calgary but Trails in the Polls
We are set for a Poilievre-Carney rematch.
Feb 3
•
Philippe J. Fournier
23
1
338 Sunday Update: Liberals Pull Ahead as Poilievre Clears Leadership Review
Conservative delegates in Calgary give Poilievre a strong mandate, setting the stage for a potential rematch with Mark Carney.
Feb 1
•
Philippe J. Fournier
37
2
January 2026
Abacus Data: Liberals Open a Clear Lead as Poilievre Faces Leadership Review
New polling shows rising government approval and improving numbers for Mark Carney as Conservative delegates vote on Pierre Poilievre’s leadership.
Jan 30
•
Philippe J. Fournier
20
5
Léger: Liberals Surge to Majority Territory
Conservatives hold their ground, but a rebound in government satisfaction and an NDP slide propel the Liberals to a wide lead.
Jan 28
•
Philippe J. Fournier
38
1
3
The Numbers: Carney Gets Post-Davos Bump as Poilievre Falls Further Back
Looks like last week's dip wasn't a blip for Poilievre.
Jan 27
•
Philippe J. Fournier
23
1
Angus Reid Poll Adds to Poilievre’s Personal-Approval Troubles
The Conservative leader shows no improvement in personal ratings since late summer, with warning signs emerging among younger voters.
Jan 26
•
Philippe J. Fournier
33
5
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