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338 Sunday Update: Liberals Reach New Highs

Latest polls suggest the federal race has shifted dramatically in recent weeks, lifting the Liberal projection above the 200-seat mark — an all-time high.

Philippe J. Fournier's avatar
Philippe J. Fournier
Mar 15, 2026
∙ Paid

Happy Sunday morning, dear 338Canada readers,

If Canadians had been heading to the voting booths this week, the Carney Liberals would be on track to win a massive majority, according to the trends measured by federal polls over the past six weeks.

What began as a modest uptick in Liberal support earlier in January now appears to have grown into a late-winter surge.

Whether by coincidence or lost in the whirlwind of destabilizing political news (and there has been plenty), this acceleration seems to have taken shape shortly after the Conservative National Convention in Calgary, where Pierre Poilievre comfortably secured the continued confidence of CPC party members.

Let’s explore the latest federal polls before updating the 338Canada federal projection.

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