338 Sunday Update: We Love Civics
And the Civic Holiday even more so.
🍁Happy Sunday, dear 338Canada readers,
Happy August long weekend to readers from many places in Canada. Today’s post will be brief as I, too, try to enjoy the last days of this summer hiatus—before the rhythm picks up this month. The Quebec general election and Alberta referendum will for sure keep us busy.
Here are the federal latest polls from active firms in the past 30 days:
As you can see, there is a bit of a spread. We discussed it earlier this week in this post.
It was also a topic of discussion with my podcast partner Éric Grenier in last week’s episode of The Numbers:
Here are the updated 338Canada weighted averages:
The Liberals slipped below the 200-seat mark for the first time in months, but still hold a commanding lead in the seat projection with an average of 197 seats, against 106 for the Conservatives.
The Bloc Québécois averages 24 seats and the NDP ,14.
Enjoy August, dear readers. We will be back at full rhythm soon.
Thanks, as always, to all subscribers who make 338Canada possible.🍁❤️
📊338Canada.ca is an independent and reader-supported newsletter.
🍁Take advantage of our Summer 2026 Special here.





