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338Canada.ca

Trump's Conviction Barely Moved the Needle

The View From Up North: Introducing the 338Canada U.S. Presidential Model.

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Philippe J. Fournier's avatar
Curtis Fric and Philippe J. Fournier
Jun 14, 2024
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On May 30, 2024, Donald Trump became the first US president to be convicted of a crime after a jury found him guilty on 34 felony charges in the New York hush-money case.

There was a lot of speculation whether a conviction result would hamper Trump’s chances in the presidential election slated for November. A little under two weeks later, and the polls seem to have moved very little on this issue, so let’s see what the data is telling is so far.



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