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The Return of... Battleground Ontario?

Blip or new trend? Consecutive polls suggest Ontario could be back in play, challenging the established narrative of the province turning completely blue.

Philippe J. Fournier's avatar
Philippe J. Fournier
Jan 27, 2025
∙ Paid

One poll is only a data point. A mere datum.

But two polls? Okay, two polls don’t make a trend either. But when a new trend does occur, it starts with consecutive polls.

Mainstreet Research was in the field this weekend in preparation for the expected Ontario writ drop later this week. On top of the provincial horserace (which we will get to), Mainstreet asked respondents where they stood in the federal race. And the results are striking.

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