PQ Maintains Lead as Support for Sovereignty Stalls

The latest Pallas Data poll finds the Parti Québécois holding the lead in voting intentions, while support for Quebec sovereignty and for holding a referendum remains stuck around 30%.

🍁Happy Thursday, dear 338Canada readers,

The Parti Québécois has been leading in voting intentions in Quebec since the fall of 2023. Although the numbers could still change during the upcoming provincial campaign, the party remains the clear favorite to win at least a plurality of seats if current trends continue (see the updated 338 Quebec projections here).

However, support for sovereignty is still not growing, according to the results of the most recent Quebec poll by Pallas Data commissioned by 338Canada.

Here is the wording of the question, which has been the same in all Quebec polls from Pallas since 2023:

“If a referendum were held on Quebec’s sovereignty, would you vote for or against Quebec’s sovereignty?”

Province-wide, 29% of respondents say they would vote in favor of Quebec sovereignty if a referendum were held—a statistically significant drop of four points since the previous Pallas poll back in June.

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