Poilievre May Be Struggling Right Now, but the Kids Still Like Him
He’s achieved something Conservatives failed to do for years: win young voters
It’s already political legend. In 2025, Justin Trudeau stepped down as prime minister just as Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives cruised toward a massive majority government. Within weeks of Mark Carney taking the helm of the Liberals, the political landscape was transformed. By April, the Liberals had secured another mandate—a turnaround with virtually no precedent in Canada in terms of scale and timing, and one that few observers would have predicted at the start of the year. Yours truly included.
And yet, beneath that dramatic reversal, one crucial segment of the electorate didn’t budge for the Conservatives. Among voters aged eighteen to thirty-four—“young voters” for the purposes of this analysis—party support held firm after Trudeau’s exit and Carney’s arrival. It is the only major demographic group where the Conservatives truly weathered the massive 2025 shift in public opinion.
The headline doesn't match the numbers. At best 18-35 are split between Cons and Libs, with NDP etc trailing. The chart shows libs leading among that age bracket. Only means that the 35% who supported him in 2024 still support . It rose to 41 and then dropped to the mean
And yet, it was the youth vote that apparently ousted Orban....