Pallas Data: Quebec Race Gets Blurrier

New Quebec poll shows incumbent CAQ gaining among francophones, government satisfaction taking a hit, and no party reaching 30% of support.

The parliamentary session at the National Assembly ended on Friday, and with that, the pre-election campaign is underway. Where do Quebec parties stand as summer approaches? A brand-new Quebec poll conducted by Pallas Data and commissioned by 338Canada suggests that the political landscape in Quebec remains as murky as ever.

Across the province, the Parti Québécois remains in the lead with 29% support among decided and likely voters, a result unchanged since Pallas’s previous survey, conducted in early May. The Quebec Liberal Party, meanwhile, has suffered a significant setback: it lost three points and slipped to 25% across Quebec. As we will see below, this decline for the QLP is mainly due to a sharp drop in its support among the Francophone majority.

As for the incumbent CAQ, this poll contains a mix of good and not-so-good news. While new Premier Christine Fréchette seemed to have given her party a boost last month, one might now wonder if the CAQ has already hit a ceiling.

📊Enjoy independent, data-driven analysis and exclusive polls?
🍁Join thousands of readers supporting 338Canada.