Pallas Data: PQ in the lead, CAQ still trailing

The Parti Québécois remains in first place despite a five-point slide since September, while Legault's CAQ and the Conservatives are vying for third place.

[A French version of this post was accidentally sent to 338Canada subscribers this morning. Here below in the English version of this article.]

A new Quebec poll by Pallas Data was conducted on October 18-19, 2025, with n=1,234 respondents.

Conducted on behalf of the Conservative Party of Quebec (PCQ), this poll included questions on various current issues (which have not yet been published), as well as voting intentions in Quebec—which we are presenting today.

Nationally, the Parti Québécois maintains a comfortable lead with 33% of decided and inclined voters. However, compared to the previous poll by the same firm (published in September on behalf of Qc125 and L’actualité), this represents a statistically significant five-point decline for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s party.

The Quebec Liberal Party and its leader Pablo Rodriguez follow with 26% of voting intentions (-1 point compared to September). After a sharp jump following the leadership race last June, the QLP now seems to be treading water. Such a score would likely secure it the role of Official Opposition in the National Assembly in the next election, but would remain clearly insufficient to hope to regain power.

A close battle for third place ensues between the Conservative Party of Quebec at 14% (-1) and the Coalition Avenir Québec at 13% (+2). Québec solidaire brings up the rear with 10% support (+2).