NDP Bounce Coming?

It's too early to call it a trend, but new tracker numbers suggest Avi Lewis's NDP may finally be gaining ground at the expense of the Liberals.

🍁Happy Tuesday, dear readers,

We wrote last week about how the numbers seemed to suggest (cautious wording on purpose) a possible NDP rebound (read about it here). The Nanos Research tracker not only showed the NDP back in double-digit national support, but also improved numbers for Avi Lewis on the preferred-prime-minister tracker.

Now, of course, we did not get carried away. Lewis stood at 7% (technically 6.5%), against 49% for Mark Carney and 24% for Pierre Poilievre. Nevertheless, the generic “NDP leader” stood at only 3% when Lewis won the party leadership in late March, and the party was consistently polling in the single digits nationally at the time.

While this morning’s Nanos update showed no significant movement from last week, the latest numbers from Liaison Strategies’ two-week tracker did show the NDP climbing to its highest level of support since last year’s disastrous campaign.

Noise or early signs of a (modest) comeback?

Let’s dive into the numbers.

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