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Manitoba 2023 Candidate Rundown
Here's where the parties have fielded candidates for this upcoming election.
The Progressive Conservatives are heading into an election tied with the opposition New Democrats in the polls. Under then Premier, Brian Pallister, the PC’s won 36 of 57 possible seats in 2019. Now, the PC’s are under the leadership of Heather Stefanson as they head into the 2023 election.
The PC’s have fielded a candidate in every riding in the province while their leader runs in the riding of Tuxedo.
The New Democrats are heading into the election in a solid position to challenge to Progressive Conservatives. They won 18 seats in the last election, the majority of which are in central Winnipeg. Under Wab Kinew, the leader of the NDP, the party picked up 6 seats in the 2019 election. The party is hoping to win government this election after losing their last majority government to Brian Pallister’s PC’s in 2016.
The New Democrats have also fielded a candidate in every riding while their leader is running in Fort Rouge.
The Manitoba Liberals are hoping for their first government in exactly seventy years. The last time the Liberals held government in Manitoba was 1953 under Douglas Lloyd Campbell. However, the polls suggest the Liberals may be lucky to even hold onto the three seats they currently hold (Tyndall Park, River Heights, and the leader’s seat, St. Boniface).
With only 49 candidates running, the Liberals are already at a disadvantage in their miracle run for government, yet most of those seats without Liberal candidates are in rural Manitoba. Their leader, Dougald Lamont, is running in St. Boniface, a seat he only won by 11-points over the NDP.
In the last election, the Greens fielded 43 candidates. This election they’ve only managed to field 13 candidates in Manitoba’s 57 ridings. The party saw an increase in its vote share last election (Likely due to the higher number of candidates) and polled as high as 10% last election while finishing with 6.24%. Now, the party has dipped in the polls and their lack of candidates will negatively impact their overall vote share in the province.
Their leader, Janine Gibson, is running in the seat of Wolseley where the party won 36.3% of the vote last election, only 10-points behind the NDP. While it’s unlikely that Gibson will win the seat, this will be the Greens best shot at entering the legislature.
The Keystone party is a funny one. Created last year in 2022, this new right-wing party has managed to field candidates in 5 of Manitoba’s 57 ridings. Notably, every seat they are occupying sits outside of Winnipeg and firmly in some of Manitoba’s most rural ridings.
Describing themselves as ‘close to centre’ while outlets have called the party ‘far-right’, the Keystone Party could’ve been a force to pull votes away from the Progressive Conservatives. But, much like the various Wildrose parties in Alberta, it seems the Keystone party either failed to attract candidates or it didn’t want to upset the governing PC’s in any meaningful way.
Their leader, Kevin Friesen, will be running in the riding of Turtle Mountain, a seat the PC’s won with 67.5% in the last election.
Finally, the last party fielding candidates in the Manitoba election are the Communists. The party is fielding 5 candidates out of the 57 total ridings, with all candidates around downtown Winnipeg. The party only managed 189 votes in the last election which doesn’t even clock in at 0.1% of the vote during that period.
Their leader, Andrew Taylor, is running in the riding of Notre Dame. The Communists won 0.62% of the vote in Notre Dame in 2019, which works out to 32 votes.
Where are these maps?
You can find all DIY-Riding painters for every province (Except Ontario as we’re still waiting on final boundaries) and the federal scene here!
What about seat projections?
Province-wide popular vote and seat projections, as well as district-level projections, are all available on the 338Canada Manitoba page, which will be updated regularly all the way to election day. As of today, September 16, 2023, the projection show a virtual tie between the incumbent PCs and the NDP, with the Liberals potentially holding the balance of power in a deeply divided legislature.
When is election day?
The Manitoba election will be held on October 3, 2023, with advance voting between September 23-30th.
If you’re a resident of Manitoba and want more information on how, when, and where to vote, visit the Elections Manitoba website for more information.
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