Liberals in Free Fall, CPC Widens Lead

Mid-October projection has Conservatives leading by an average of 100 seats over Liberals, well into majority territory

August came and went, then September... Surely this wonky summer polling will stabilize come October?

New federal polling last week brought more grim news for the governing Liberals, as support for the red team has not recovered from its late-summer slump, which should now no longer be called a slump.

Nanos Research (data paywalled), Abacus Data, and Mainstreet Research all released new figures that puts the Conservatives ahead by double-digits from coast to coast, and leading where Liberal support had held strong until recently, namely Ontario and Atlantic Canada. And if one looks closely, one could also see the needle move ever so slightly in Quebec.

Let’s dive into the numbers.