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Liaison: Government Approval Slips

While polling from Liaison Strategies suggests net approval remains comfortably positive, Mark Carney’s approval has dropped six points in a month.

Philippe J. Fournier's avatar
Philippe J. Fournier
May 18, 2026
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Are we witnessing the beginning of the end of Mark Carney’s second political honeymoon?

Although the federal Liberals continue to lead their Conservative rivals in public support, new data from Liaison Strategies suggest the government’s approval ratings have taken a hit in recent weeks. Naturally, nuance is key here: net approval remains comfortably in positive territory, but the recent movement in the numbers can hardly be dismissed as mere statistical noise.

According to the latest Liaison update — a two-week rolling poll fielded from May 4 to 16, 2026 — 56% of respondents approve of Mark Carney’s performance as Prime Minister of Canada, against 36% who expressed disapproval.

However, if we go back to Liaison’s previous two-week wave (mid-field date of April 26, 2026), approval stood at 60%, while disapproval sat at 32% — a four-point shift on both measures. In the prior wave (April 12, 2026), approval measured 62%, against only 29% disapproval.

In the span of one month, Carney’s net approval has dropped from +32 to +20.

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