Léger: PQ and Liberals Deadlocked
For the first time since November 2023, the PQ is no longer alone in first place, now tied with the Liberals in Léger’s latest poll, as the CAQ collapse continues.
The Parti Québécois’ wide lead in voting intentions is no more. For the first time since November 2023, the PQ is no longer alone at the top in a Quebec poll.
Léger’s latest Quebec survey, conducted from March 20 to 22, 2026, places the PQ and the Quebec Liberals at 33% apiece among decided voters.
Compared to Léger’s previous poll (released in early March), this represents a gain of three points for the Liberals and of two point for the PQ. The governing CAQ, meanwhile, has fallen to a dismal 9% — a four-point decline over the course of March and the worst polling result for the party since its creation in 2011.
Among francophone voters, the PLQ is gaining ground and benefiting from the CAQ’s decline. Charles Milliard’s Liberals now stands at 23% among francophones, up four points, but still well behind the PQ, which leads with 41%.
The regional breakdown is consistent with recent polls and highlights deep divides between the Montreal metropolitan area and the rest of the province. In Greater Montreal (island and suburbs), the Liberals lead by 17 points over the PQ, 44% to 27%. In the Quebec City region, results have not moved beyond the margin of error, and the race remains tight between the PQ and the Conservatives.
In the rest of Quebec, the PQ sits at 41% support, 19 points ahead of the Liberals.
While caution is warranted when interpreting results by age group — especially among younger voters — some notable numbers nonetheless emerge. Among voters aged 18 to 34, Léger finds a tight three-way race between the Liberals, the PQ, and Québec solidaire, with the Liberals on top with 32%.
The PQ leads among voters aged 35 to 54 with 34% support, nine points ahead of the Conservatives and 11 points ahead of the Liberals. Among voters aged 55 and over, Léger measures a close race between the Liberals (40%) and the PQ (35%).
The Coalition Avenir Québec, with just two weeks remaining in its leadership race, is not competitive in any region or demographic group.
At only 9% support province-wide, the CAQ would effectively be wiped off the map if these numbers were to hold through an election.
A full update of the 338Canada Quebec projection will be published shortly.
The full results of this poll are available here.
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