In Quebec, Conservatives Gnawing at Both LPC and BQ Support
While the Bloc and CPC enjoy high voter retention rates in Quebec, numbers show the Quebec Liberal base is fracturing.
Federal polls since the fall of 2023 have unanimously show that Pierre Poilievre's Conservative Party (CPC) is well ahead of Justin Trudeau's Liberals in terms of voting intentions. 338Canada's federal projections place the CPC comfortably in majority territory with over 200 seats, and have done so since last November. The latest figures from Pallas Data were no exception, showing the CPC leading in every polling region... with the exception of Quebec.
Why not in Quebec? It's not so much that the CPC's support hasn't grown in the province since Poilievre became leader, but that the Conservatives started from so far back of the pack. In the 2021 election, the LPC had garnered 34% of the vote in Quebec, against 32% for the Bloc in Quebec.
And the CPC? Just under 19%.
Since then, the progression of federal polls in Quebec shows that Liberal support has eroded, CPC support has climbed, and the Bloc is stagnating around its 2021 score.
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