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Ford Rebounds as Ontario’s Appetite for a U.S. Fight Grows

New Liaison polling shows the PCs back near 40%, while Ontario voters overwhelmingly support retaliatory measures against the United States.

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Philippe J. Fournier's avatar
Curtis Fric and Philippe J. Fournier
Aug 29, 2026
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🍁Happy Saturday, dear readers,

New polling from Liaison Strategies offers an updated look at Ontario’s political landscape and suggests Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservatives may indeed be rebounding following the latest breakdown in Canada-U.S. trade negotiations.

The poll found that 39% of Ontarians would vote for Ford’s PCs if an election were held today, compared with 35% for the leaderless Ontario Liberals. Marit Stiles’ NDP stands at 20%, while Mike Schreiner’s Green Party sits at just 2%.

However, Ford’s PCs aren’t the only governing party polling strongly in Ontario. At the federal level, Mark Carney’s Liberals continue to hold a sizeable lead in the province.

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