Do Mode Effects Explain Wild Polling Discrepancies in B.C.?

Six months from the British Columbia general election, the latest polls show it could either be a blowout... or a close race.

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Liaison Strategies released a new British Columbia provincial poll earlier this week, with numbers matching Mainstreet Research’s March B.C. poll that had the Conservatives within reach of the NDP.

However, Mainstreet and Liaison Strategies’ numbers are telling very different tales of the horse race on the West Coast compared to online pollsters such as Léger, Abacus Data and the Angus Reid Institute. With only six months to go until the scheduled provincial election in October, polls wildly disagree on the state of the race — and the disagreement appears to be a clear-cut case of mode effect.

Let’s compare the latest numbers out of B.C.

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