338Canada.ca

338Canada.ca

Share this post

338Canada.ca
338Canada.ca
Do Mode Effects Explain Wild Polling Discrepancies in B.C.?

Do Mode Effects Explain Wild Polling Discrepancies in B.C.?

Six months from the British Columbia general election, the latest polls show it could either be a blowout... or a close race.

Curtis Fric's avatar
Philippe J. Fournier's avatar
Curtis Fric
and
Philippe J. Fournier
Apr 13, 2024
∙ Paid
5

Share this post

338Canada.ca
338Canada.ca
Do Mode Effects Explain Wild Polling Discrepancies in B.C.?
3
Share

Liaison Strategies released a new British Columbia provincial poll earlier this week, with numbers matching Mainstreet Research’s March B.C. poll that had the Conservatives within reach of the NDP.

However, Mainstreet and Liaison Strategies’ numbers are telling very different tales of the horse race on the West Coast compared to online pollsters such as Léger, Abacus Data and the Angus Reid Institute. With only six months to go until the scheduled provincial election in October, polls wildly disagree on the state of the race — and the disagreement appears to be a clear-cut case of mode effect.

Let’s compare the latest numbers out of B.C.


Our work is only possible with your generous support! Consider subscribing so we can keep doing what we do best :)


Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to 338Canada.ca to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Philippe J. Fournier
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share