338 Sunday Update: Rage index, Electric Cars, Campus Protests, and a Steady CPC Lead
Spring is the second-best season in Canada (*citation needed). Enjoy it while it lasts, and go smell the tulips.
Happy Mothers’ Day to all mothers out there, especially mine. Tu es la meilleure, Maman.♥
After a crazy start of May, last week was a quiet one in the polls. Here is a brief summary:
Pollara Strategic Insights released its new findings on their Rage Index. From Pollara’s report: “The Rage Index hit a new high in April, with record levels of anger about the Canadian economy, and both federal and provincial governments.” Also, “This wave sees a 16-point jump in the level of anger towards the B.C. government. This marks the first time in nearly two years of tracking that the majority of British Columbians feel negative emotions about their provincial government.” Did we mention B.C. voters are heading to the polls in October? See 338’s updated B.C. projections here. Read Pollara’s poll report here.
Nanos Research published data on Canadians’ interest in owning an electric car and their support on offering incentives to use alternative (greener) energy. From the report: “Canadians are nearly four times more likely to oppose (50%) rather than support (13%) a total ban on the use of gasoline-powered cars and SUVs as of 2035.” Read Nanos’ report here.
Again from Nanos Research on the proposed changes to the capital gains tax: “Canadians are slightly more likely to say the capital gains tax increase will weaken the economy (45%) than say it is fair and will close the gap between rich and poor (38%).” Read it here.
Both the Angus Reid Institute and Léger released data on campus protests going on throughout the country (and North America).
And finally, the Nanos Research weekly update saw the Conservatives (42%) leading the Liberals (24%) by 18 points, while the NDP sits at 16%. Read Nanos’ report here. Details of this poll are paywalled here.
We will keep it short this week.
With little horse-race data to add to the pile (remember that the Nanos tracker is a four-week rolling poll, so each week is worth a fourth of a poll), we see no significant changes in the 338Canada federal projection this week.
The Conservatives remain in a dominant position both in the popular vote projections and the seat projections.
Here are the seat projections per province (Using the new 343-seat map)!
More to come this week, so stay tuned.
And thank you, dear subscribers, for supporting 338Canada. ♥
Visit 338Canada’s main federal page for details of this projection later today (Subscribers to this 338Canada newsletter get the numbers early. The main website is updated in late afternoon, eastern time).
To find your electoral district, visit this page or click on the regional links below:
To access the complete list of publicly available federal polls (excluding paywalled data), visit this page.
Looking for provincial projections? Click on the map below!
