Happy Sunday morning, dear 338Canada readers,
The trends first detected in federal polling in mid-January were not only confirmed last week — they intensified.
New data from the Angus Reid Institute added weight to a growing narrative: Mark Carney’s Liberals continue to gain ground in public opinion, while the federal Conservatives — and especially CPC leader Pierre Poilievre — absorbed a significant setback.
Let’s begin with the latest polling, before turning to this week’s 338Canada projection.
Welcome to the 338 Sunday Update. Let’s dig in.
Angus Reid Institute: Poilievre sliding — and dragging the CPC with him
The latest federal poll from the Angus Reid Institute (ARI), which includes both party and leader numbers, showed a notable shift in the race.
Nationally, the Liberals climbed to 45%, up four points since January, while the Conservatives fell six points to 32% — the party’s weakest result from ARI since… 2022.
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