One year ago, the 338Canada model projected the federal Conservatives favoured in 164 (of 338) seats, just short of a majority.
The Liberals, which had been sliding in the projection since June that year, had a modest bounce to an average 117 seats. Coincidentally, that week’s numbers (August 20, 2023) were almost “a mirror” projection of the 2021 election results — but this time with the Conservatives in front, and the Liberals in opposition.
After a year of continuous CPC campaigning (and several Liberal blunders), the Conservatives continue to lead voting intentions by double-digits, and, consequently, sit on top of the seat projections by wide margins.
Let us explore today’s 338Canada federal update.
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