338 Sunday Update: CPC Flirting with 200 Seats

Steady double-digit leads for the Conservative and better numbers for the Bloc spell trouble for the Liberals

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The Week Recapped

Over the course of the past week, we were given three federal polls that all showed a varying degree of Conservative dominance over their Liberal rivals:

• The Angus Reid Institute was first up this week, giving us a 17-point Conservative lead in their latest polling. With the Tories at 41% and the Liberals at 24%, the Bloc managed to pick up further support in Quebec, raising their national share to 9%, report here.

• Abacus Data dropped their polling for the week just in time for this model update! They’re similar to Angus Reid, yet have the Liberals at 25% and the Conservatives at 40% instead, with the Bloc down a point nationally, report here.

• Nanos Research gave us a 13-point Conservative lead this week with the Conservatives sitting at 39% and the Liberals at 26%. The NDP picked up some ground and inched up to 21%, report here.

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With that out of the way, let’s get into the 338Canada model for the week!

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