338 Sunday Update: Conservatives Open Largest Lead Yet Over Liberals

This week's federal projection has the Conservatives leading by 18 points in the aggregate

Three federal polls were released last week, which gave the Conservatives national leads of 17, 18, and 20 points respectively over the governing Liberals. We also add to the pile a strong CPC victory in the Durham by-election last Monday night, a riding where the CPC advantage over the Liberals grew from 16 points (in the 2021 federal election) to 35 points.

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Let us first summarize last week’s newest data, and follow it with the updated 338Canada federal projection.