Happy Sunday morning and welcome to December, dear 338Canada readers,
The news moved swiftly last week: from Donald Trump’s social media threats of tariffs on Canada and Mexico, to the House of Commons’ vote on a GST break just in time for the holidays, to a blowout victory for the Progressive Conservatives in Nova Scotia.
On the polling front, while we’ve seen a busy fall overall, November was comparatively quieter. However, a flurry of numbers is expected to arrive before the Christmas/Holiday break, providing a snapshot of the federal landscape heading into 2025.
One standout moment came last week with a shocking poll from Mainstreet Research, which gave the Conservatives a staggering 30-point lead (!) from coast to coast — the largest lead for any federal party in... this century?
Let’s dive into the week’s developments, review the latest polling, and update the 338Canada federal projection.
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