338 Sunday Update: Conservatives Deep in Majority Territory, NDP on Shaky Ground

While Liberal support remains stagnant, post NDP-LPC-breakup polls spell trouble for the orange team.

The House of Commons begins its fall sitting on Monday in Ottawa, a parliamentary session that will keep many political observers on edge now that the confidence-and-supply agreement between the New Democrats and the governing Liberals has been “ripped up” by NDP leader Jagmeet Singh.

[Monday also happens to coincide with two federal by-elections in Winnipeg and Montreal, which could significantly alter the dynamics between the main parties for weeks to come. At 9:30pm eastern (8:30pm central), my podcast co-host

Éric Grenier

and I will livestream the results on YouTube. Join us here!]

After Singh’s announcement of the NDP-LPC breakup, several polls were fielded to take the pulse of Canadians regarding their impressions of the new federal reality.

In short: 1) Conservative dominance in the polls has not wavered, 2) The Liberals, while still trailing their CPC rivals by a wide margin, have remained mostly stable, and 3) The New Democrats have gotten poor numbers, and are slipping in dangerous territory in the projections.

Let’s begin with a short recap of a busy week in the polls, and then get to this week’s 338Canada federal update.

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