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338 Sunday Update: Carney’s Honeymoon, CAQ’s Sinking Ship, and Other Early Summer Data

338 Sunday Update: Carney’s Honeymoon, CAQ’s Sinking Ship, and Other Early Summer Data

Mark Carney’s Liberals stay ahead federally, while Legault’s CAQ continues its downward slide.

Philippe J. Fournier's avatar
Philippe J. Fournier
Jun 29, 2025
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338 Sunday Update: Carney’s Honeymoon, CAQ’s Sinking Ship, and Other Early Summer Data
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Happy Sunday morning, dear 338Canada readers,

On the docket today:

  • Federal polls from Abacus Data, Mainstreet Research and the usual Nanos Research update: To varying amplitudes, Carney leads Poilievre in approbation and appreciation.

  • Léger polls in Quebec: Provincially, Legault’s CAQ crumbles. Federally, Carney Liberals alone on top.

  • Mainstreet Research sees provincial Conservatives ahead in B.C., and Doug Ford’s Ontario PCs still cruising. Oh, and Mainstreet sees same trends as Léger and Pallas Data in Quebec—i.e. Legault’s in trouble.

Let’s get into it.

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