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338 Sunday Update: Carney Up, Legault and Ford Down (but Not the PCPO)
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338 Sunday Update: Carney Up, Legault and Ford Down (but Not the PCPO)

Federal numbers remain stable, while provincial approval ratings show sharp contrasts from coast to coast.

Philippe J. Fournier's avatar
Philippe J. Fournier
Jun 15, 2025
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338 Sunday Update: Carney Up, Legault and Ford Down (but Not the PCPO)
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Happy Sunday morning, dear 338Canada readers,

Even in quieter political seasons, the data keeps flowing—and this week’s polls offer some revealing trends across the country. And yes, it was another busy one in the polls last week.

Let’s get right into it.

Carney Honeymoon Rolls On

The pace of federal polling has understandably slowed down post-election. The numbers that we did get all seem to suggest that Mark Carney is enjoying an intense post-election honeymoon. Both the Angus Reid Institute and Abacus Data measured high (early) approval numbers for the new PM, and both Nanos Research and EKOS now measure some daylight between the level of Liberal and CPC support federally.

Since a general election is the largest poll of all, it still weighs heavily in the projections, so once again the 338Canada update does not differ much from the April 28 tally. However, you may want to visit 338 for a new addition: demographic data from the Canadian census for every electoral district.

See all the numbers on the 338Canada main page here.

[This article continues below for subscribers. Support 338Canada and get full access to weekly data breakdowns, charts, and exclusive content. Redeem special offer here.]

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