338 Sunday Update: Amid Tariff Turmoil, Liberals Gain Ground

Sugar high or renewed momentum? Dramatic shifts in public opinion suggest the political landscape may be changing. Let’s break down the numbers.

Happy Sunday morning, dear 338Canada readers,

The fallout from Donald Trump’s threats to Canada’s sovereignty is still too fresh to determine with certainty, but the last week of federal polling (both at national and provincial levels) has shown significant—even wild—movements in public opinion. Without falling into hyperbole, we may have entered a whole new political discussion with only months to go before Canadians elect a new Parliament.

Adding to the equation an increased attention given to the LPC leadership race, and we have the potential for a seismic shift of tectonic plates in Canadian politics.

That, or it could just be an especially intense sugar high.

We have lots of fresh data to dive into, so let’s get right into that first, then present today’s 338Canada federal update.

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Léger: Carney Hurts BQ in Quebec

On Thursday morning, Léger released its latest Quebec-only poll for Le Journal de Montréal. While Léger’s provincial numbers did spark some interest (PQ leads, CAQ and PLQ tied for second place… read my analysis for L’actualité magazine here), the poll’s federal numbers drew the most attention—and with good reason.