338 Sunday Update: A Stunning Reversal—The Conservative Lead is Gone

A historic turnaround in the polls sets the stage for a dramatic election campaign. Buckle up.

After his blowout victory in the Liberal Party leadership race, Mark Carney was sworn in on Friday as Canada’s 24th prime minister. As expected, Canadian pollsters have been busy over the past week, taking the pulse of the country at the dawn of this new era—one that, admittedly, could be very short-lived.

In Ottawa, speculation is mounting that the writ will be dropped within the next seven days, setting the stage for a federal election on either April 28 or May 5.

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Now, let’s dive into the numbers of the past week, then update the 338Canada federal projections. Needless to say, the race has tightened significantly—so much so that this election is now a toss-up.

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