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338 Quebec Update: The CAQ Came Back

They thought it was a goner…🎵

Philippe J. Fournier's avatar
Philippe J. Fournier
May 21, 2026
∙ Paid
Thanks to Politico’s Nick Taylor-Vaisey for the reference in today’s Playbook Canada.

The CAQ may not have had its final say just yet.

A Léger poll in Quebec, published Wednesday in Quebecor media outlets, confirms the resurgence of the Coalition Avenir Québec following the first month of the “Fréchette era.” While the Parti Québécois and the Quebec Liberal Party are still vying for the lead province-wide, a reinvigorated CAQ is now closing in on them.

Among the francophone majority, the CAQ has surged ahead of the QLP with 26% support and is closing in on the PQ, which remains in the lead with 37%.

I’ve written this in previous columns, but it’s worth repeating: there is no recent precedent for such a race in Quebec. Based on Léger’s figures, the five main political parties would all win a share of the seats—a situation not seen since 1976. In that election, won by René Lévesque’s PQ, the Parti Québécois, the Liberal Party, the Union Nationale, the Ralliement Créditiste, and the Parti National Populaire all had members elected to the National Assembly.

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