338 Ontario Update: Ford's PCs Lead Rivals, but by How Much?

A razor-thin majority or a historic blowout? The polls tell different stories.

The Ontario campaign is now in full swing, with voting day set for Thursday, February 27. Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives are vying for a third straight majority at Queen’s Park—a feat no premier has achieved in more than half a century.

And early data suggest Ford is on his way to doing just that.

Among the many Ontario polls released in the past days, all agree that Doug Ford’s PCs lead their Liberals and New Democratic rivals.However, much like what we have recently witnessed at the federal level, pollsters wildly disagree on the extent of the Conservative lead.

Let’s review the latest numbers at the start of this short campaign, and present the updated 338 Ontario projections.

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